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海天味业三季报点评:持续稳健发展,业绩符合预期

来源: 南方日报网络版     时间: 2019年05月23日 02:56:01
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(原)(标)(题)(:海)(天)(味)(业)(三)(季)(报)(点)(评)(:持)(续)(稳)(健)(发)(展)(,业)(绩)(符)(合)(预)(期)(
作)(者)(:方)(正)(食)(品)(薛)(玉)(虎)(
来)(源)(:虎)(哥)(的)(研)(究)(
事)(件)(描)(述)(
2018年)(前)(三)(季)(度)(营)(收)(127.1亿)(元)((+17.2%),归)(母)(净)(利)(31.3亿)(元)((+23.3%),扣)(非)(后)(净)(利)(29.4亿)(元)((+21.5%)。
方)(正)(观)(点)(
1、三)(季)(度)(延)(续)(稳)(增)(长)(趋)(势)(,无)(惧)(短)(期)(经)(济)(波)(动)(影)(响)(:Q3单)(季)(公)(司)(营)(收)(39.9亿)(元)((+17.1%),归)(母)(净)(利)(8.83亿)(元)((+23.4%),扣)(非)(后)(净)(利)(7.88亿)(元)((+16.3%),符)(合)(市)(场)(预)(期)(。公)(司)(成)(长)(非)(常)(稳)(定)(,今)(年)(三)(个)(季)(度)(收)(入)(增)(速)(均)(在)(17%左)(右)(,在)(整)(个)(经)(济)(环)(境)(波)(动)(背)(景)(下)(实)(属)(难)(得)(。我)(们)(预)(测)(,公)(司)(主)(要)(产)(品)(酱)(油)(、蚝)(油)(、酱)(类)(等)(发)(展)(延)(续)(上)(半)(年)(水)(平)(。2018年)(公)(司)(收)(入)(、净)(利)(润)(增)(长)(目)(标)(是)(分)(别)(为)(16%,20%,目)(前)(来)(看)(前)(三)(季)(度)(超)(额)(完)(成)(目)(标)(,而)(且)(部)(分)(成)(熟)(市)(场)(亦)(是)(如)(此)(。我)(们)(认)(为)(公)(司)(今)(年)(完)(成)(既)(定)(目)(标)(无)(忧)(,而)(且)(进)(入)(四)(季)(度)(可)(能)(会)(控)(制)(发)(展)(节)(奏)(,轻)(装)(上)(阵)(,确)(保)(未)(来)(发)(展)(更)(加)(稳)(健)(。此)(外)(,公)(司)(前)(三)(季)(度)(经)(营)(性)(现)(金)(流)(净)(额)(同)(比)(增)(长)(32.7%,三)(季)(度)(环)(比)(二)(季)(度)(改)(善)(明)(显)(,与)(票)(据)(等)(减)(少)(有)(关)(。
2、毛)(利)(率)(季)(节)(性)(正)(常)(波)(动)(,盈)(利)(能)(力)(仍)(维)(持)(在)(较)(高)(水)(平)(:前)(三)(季)(度)(公)(司)(净)(利)(润)(率)(同)(比)(提)(升)(1.2pct至)(24.6%,扣)(非)(后)(净)(利)(润)(率)(同)(比)(提)(升)(0.8pct至)(23.1%,主)(要)(得)(益)(于)(毛)(利)(率)(提)(升)(1.1pct至)(46.5%。其)(中)(,Q3单)(季)(度)(公)(司)(毛)(利)(率)(同)(比)(下)(降)(1.4pct,表)(现)(不)(如)(上)(半)(年)(,我)(们)(认)(为)(主)(要)(是)(与)(纸)(箱)(成)(本)(季)(节)(性)(波)(动)(以)(及)(结)(算)(节)(奏)(等)(有)(关)(,宜)(全)(年)(平)(滑)(来)(看)(。目)(前)(来)(看)(,我)(们)(认)(为)(公)(司)(各)(项)(成)(本)(相)(对)(稳)(定)(,而)(且)(产)(品)(结)(构)(持)(续)(升)(级)(,预)(计)(全)(年)(毛)(利)(率)(仍)(能)(维)(持)(在)(相)(对)(较)(高)(水)(平)(。费)(用)(方)(面)(,前)(三)(季)(度)(均)(保)(持)(相)(对)(稳)(定)(水)(平)(,其)(中)(研)(发)(费)(用)(三)(季)(度)(开)(始)(从)(管)(理)(费)(用)(中)(剥)(离)(单)(独)(披)(露)(,还)(原)(后)(基)(本)(无)(变)(化)(。
3、产)(品)(线)(发)(展)(梯)(次)(清)(晰)(,短)(期)(波)(动)(小)(,中)(长)(期)(发)(展)(空)(间)(大)(:调)(味)(品)(作)(为)(生)(活)(基)(本)(消)(费)(品)(,具)(有)(非)(常)(强)(的)(抵)(御)(经)(济)(周)(期)(波)(动)(能)(力)(。而)(海)(天)(作)(为)(行)(业)(龙)(头)(,规)(模)(远)(超)(同)(类)(竞)(争)(对)(手)(,依)(托)(酱)(油)(形)(成)(的)(全)(国)(化)(渠)(道)(和)(品)(牌)(力)(,正)(向)(蚝)(油)(等)(其)(他)(领)(域)(延)(伸)(,中)(长)(期)(成)(长)(空)(间)(确)(定)(性)(相)(对)(较)(高)(。此)(外)(,调)(味)(品)(升)(级)(空)(间)(大)(,叠)(加)(规)(模)(效)(应)(,公)(司)(盈)(利)(能)(力)(仍)(有)(提)(升)(空)(间)(。
4、盈)(利)(预)(测)(与)(估)(值)(:预)(计)(公)(司)(18-20年)(EPS分)(别)(为)(1.61/1.98/2.42元)(,对)(应)(估)(值)(分)(别)(为)(36/29/24倍)(,维)(持)(“强)(烈)(推)(荐)(”评)(级)(。
5、风)(险)(提)(示)(:1)食)(品)(安)(全)(问)(题)(;2)竞)(争)(加)(剧)(导)(致)(销)(售)(不)(达)(预)(期)(;3)成)(本)(上)(涨)(影)(响)(盈)(利)(等)(。
返)(回)(搜)(狐)(,查)(看)(更)(多)(责)(任)(编)(辑)(:
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