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黄金沐浴避险“东风”

来源: 南方日报网络版     时间: 2019年05月21日 09:15:22
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(原)(标)(题)(:黄)(金)(沐)(浴)(避)(险)(“东)(风)(”美)(元)(仍)(“虎)(视)(眈)(眈)(”重)(头)(戏)(还)(看)(美)(联)(储)(
FX168财)(经)(报)(社)((香)(港)()讯)(周)(一)((9月)(24日)(),进)(入)(中)(秋)(假)(期)(,但)(国)(际)(金)(融)(市)(场)(仍)(不)(平)(静)(,现)(货)(黄)(金)(在)(欧)(洲)(时)(段)(保)(持)(上)(下)(波)(动)(,避)(险)(情)(绪)(受)(中)(美)(贸)(易)(冲)(突)(的)(影)(响)(回)(升)(,黄)(金)(的)(“老)(对)(手)(”美)(元)(也)(开)(始)(下)(挫)(,但)(投)(资)(者)(似)(乎)(拒)(绝)(在)(美)(联)(储)(会)(议)(前)(作)(出)(过)(于)(激)(进)(的)(选)(择)(,而)(持)(观)(望)(态)(度)(。
现)(货)(黄)(金)(60分)(钟)(线)(图)(来)(源)(:FX168财)(经)(网)(
避)(险)(情)(绪)(再)(生)(
全)(球)(股)(票)(市)(场)(在)(上)(周)(美)(国)(再)(度)(确)(认)(对)(中)(国)(的)(贸)(易)(政)(策)(后)(依)(然)(保)(持)(高)(昂)(情)(绪)(,投)(资)(者)(认)(为)(实)(际)(的)(政)(策)(不)(如)(之)(前)(预)(想)(的)(那)(么)(严)(重)(。
美)(国)(白)(宫)(上)(周)(宣)(布)(,将)(从)(24日)(起)(对)(约)(2000亿)(美)(元)(中)(国)(商)(品)(加)(征)(10%的)(关)(税)(,并)(从)(明)(年)(1月)(开)(始)(将)(税)(率)(进)(一)(步)(调)(高)(。中)(国)(也)(回)(应)(称)(将)(同)(步)(反)(制)(。据)(中)(国)(财)(政)(部)(网)(站)(公)(告)(,中)(国)(国)(务)(院)(关)(税)(税)(则)(委)(员)(会)(决)(定)(对)(原)(产)(于)(美)(国)(的)(5207个)(税)(目)(、约)(600亿)(美)(元)(商)(品)(,加)(征)(10%或)(5%的)(关)(税)(,自)(2018年)(9月)(24日)(12时)(01分)(起)(实)(施)(。
尽)(管)(如)(此)(,代)(表)(着)(风)(险)(资)(产)(的)(股)(票)(市)(场)(仍)(居)(高)(不)(下)(,标)(普)(500指)(数)(创)(下)(近)(三)(周)(来)(最)(大)(涨)(幅)(,科)(技)(股)(从)(周)(一)(跌)(势)(中)(反)(弹)(。德)(意)(志)(银)(行)(金)(属)(分)(析)(师)(NicholasSnowdon表)(示)(:“决)(定)(起)(初)(10%的)(关)(税)(,而)(不)(是)(直)(接)(选)(择)(25%的)(关)(税)(,可)(能)(为)(谈)(判)(取)(消)(提)(供)(了)(一)(个)(窗)(口)(”。富)(国)(资)(产)(管)(理)(公)(司)(的)(多)(资)(产)(策)(略)(师)(BrianJacobsen称)(:“市)(场)(将)(此)(视)(为)(紧)(张)(局)(势)(的)(降)(级)(。10%的)(关)(税)(低)(于)(最)(初)(威)(胁)(的)(25%,并)(且)(中)(国)(以)(600亿)(美)(元)(反)(击)(美)(国)(的)(2000亿)(美)(元)(。这)(可)(能)(是)(贸)(易)(紧)(张)(局)(势)(开)(始)(逐)(步)(缓)(和)(的)(开)(端)(。”
然)(而)(到)(了)(本)(周)(,股)(票)(市)(场)(的)(动)(能)(随)(着)(中)(美)(贸)(易)(谈)(判)(的)(不)(确)(定)(性)(而)(失)(去)(动)(能)(。已)(经)(收)(盘)(的)(亚)(洲)(股)(市)(中)(,中)(国)(、韩)(国)(和)(日)(本)(由)(于)(中)(秋)(节)(假)(期)(休)(市)(,香)(港)(恒)(生)(指)(数)(和)(澳)(大)(利)(亚)(股)(市)(收)(跌)(。截)(至)(本)(稿)(发)(布)((北)(京)(时)(间)(17:39),英)(国)(富)(时)(100指)(数)(下)(跌)(了)(0.20%至)(7474.91点)(,德)(国)(DAX指)(数)(下)(跌)(了)(0.36%至)(12385.92点)(,法)(国)(CAC指)(数)(下)(跌)(了)(0.24%至)(5480.16点)(。
摩)(根)(大)(通)(策)(略)(师)(在)(昨)(日)(发)(送)(给)(客)(户)(的)(报)(告)(中)(说)(已)(经)(准)(备)(迎)(接)(第)(三)(阶)(段)(的)(关)(税)(,并)(担)(心)(美)(国)(总)(统)(对)(其)(给)(美)(国)(经)(济)(带)(来)(的)(损)(害)(“严)(重)(误)(判)(”。
这)(滋)(生)(了)(市)(场)(对)(黄)(金)(避)(险)(天)(堂)(的)(需)(求)(,令)(其)(自)(上)(周)(末)(由)(美)(元)(回)(升)(导)(致)(的)(大)(跌)(中)(归)(于)(平)(静)(。
黄)(金)(继)(续)(与)(美)(元)(“对)(峙)(”
但)(黄)(金)(与)(美)(元)(的)(反)(向)(关)(系)(看)(来)(仍)(然)(继)(续)(。由)(于)(黄)(金)(以)(美)(元)(计)(价)(,美)(元)(下)(跌)(必)(然)(提)(升)(黄)(金)(的)(吸)(引)(力)(,反)(之)(亦)(然)(。上)(周)(黄)(金)(的)(走)(势)(就)(主)(要)(受)(到)(美)(元)(的)(驱)(动)(,周)(末)(的)(大)(幅)(下)(跌)(更)(是)(如)(此)(。
但)(本)(周)(开)(端)(,美)(元)(未)(能)(继)(续)(上)(周)(的)(涨)(势)(。由)(于)(中)(美)(贸)(易)(争)(端)(的)(阴)(云)(可)(能)(影)(响)(11月)(份)(的)(中)(期)(大)(选)(,美)(元)(承)(压)(。但)(美)(元)(的)(跌)(势)(也)(受)(到)(美)(债)(收)(益)(率)(保)(持)(上)(扬)(的)(支)(撑)(。债)(券)(收)(益)(率)(的)(上)(升)(同)(时)(也)(不)(利)(于)(无)(固)(定)(收)(益)(的)(黄)(金)(。
截)(至)(本)(稿)(发)(布)((北)(京)(时)(间)(17:51),美)(元)(指)(数)(呈)(温)(和)(跌)(势)(,报)(94.10。根)(据)(FXStreet的)(技)(术)(分)(析)(,美)(元)(指)(数)(将)(在)(93.81水)(平)((9月)(21日)(低)(位)()寻)(得)(即)(刻)(支)(撑)(,然)(后)(是)(93.71(7月)(9日)(月)(度)(低)(位)()和)(93.19(6月)(14日)(月)(度)(低)(位)()。如)(能)(反)(弹)(突)(破)(94.54(10日)(SMA)则)(可)(前)(往)(95.00(9月)(14日)(高)(位)(),随)(后)(是)(95.04。
美)(元)(指)(数)(60分)(钟)(线)(图)(来)(源)(:FX168财)(经)(网)(
静)(候)(美)(联)(储)(会)(议)(“重)(头)(戏)(”
而)(除)(了)(亚)(洲)(市)(场)(处)(于)(假)(日)(中)(的)(清)(淡)(行)(情)(,投)(资)(者)(也)(在)(本)(周)(美)(联)(储)(会)(议)(前)(持)(观)(望)(态)(度)(。美)(联)(储)(决)(议)(显)(然)(是)(本)(周)(市)(场)(的)(“重)(头)(戏)(”。
目)(前)(,市)(场)(普)(遍)(美)(联)(储)(将)(在)(9月)(会)(议)(上)(加)(息)(25个)(基)(点)(,政)(策)(前)(景)(成)(为)(关)(注)(焦)(点)(。
有)(分)(析)(师)(认)(为)(,自)(4月)(以)(来)(黄)(金)(已)(下)(跌)(近)(12%,金)(市)(已)(完)(全)(消)(化)(了)(美)(联)(储)(当)(前)(的)(货)(币)(政)(策)(轨)(迹)(,目)(前)(已)(准)(备)(好)(看)(到)(一)(波)(释)(然)(性)(反)(弹)(。BlueLineFutures总)(裁)(BillBaruch表)(示)(:“市)(场)(走)(势)(良)(好)(,我)(们)(只)(需)(要)(催)(化)(剂)(来)(引)(发)(反)(弹)(,而)(这)(可)(能)(来)(自)(美)(联)(储)(。”
当)(然)(,也)(存)(在)(反)(方)(观)(点)(。IncrementumAG基)(金)(经)(理)(Ronald-PeterStoeferle表)(示)(,尽)(管)(他)(认)(为)(黄)(金)(在)(目)(前)(的)(水)(平)(上)(具)(有)(吸)(引)(力)(,但)(他)(不)(能)(排)(除)(近)(期)(金)(价)(下)(跌)(的)(可)(能)(。他)(的)(论)(据)(是)(,美)(国)(经)(济)(仍)(处)(于)(活)(跃)(状)(态)(,就)(业)(市)(场)(全)(面)(就)(业)(,股)(市)(创)(下)(历)(史)(新)(高)(,美)(联)(储)(可)(能)(会)(因)(此)(提)(高)(其)(对)(中)(性)(利)(率)(的)(预)(期)(,“只)(要)(股)(市)(继)(续)(上)(涨)(,美)(联)(储)(就)(会)(继)(续)(加)(息)(,这)(将)(抑)(制)(黄)(金)(的)(供)(应)(。”但)(他)(也)(补)(充)(说)(,随)(着)(货)(币)(政)(策)(加)(大)(经)(济)(衰)(退)(的)(风)(险)(,黄)(金)(价)(格)(上)(涨)(只)(是)(时)(间)(问)(题)(。
截)(至)(本)(稿)(发)(布)((北)(京)(时)(间)(17:58),现)(货)(黄)(金)(报)(1198.71美)(元)(/盎)(司)(。根)(据)(FXStreet的)(技)(术)(分)(析)(,支)(撑)(位)(位)(于)(1192美)(元)((上)(周)(五)(低)(位)()、1188美)(元)((9月)(11日)(当)(周)(低)(位)()和)(1183美)(元)(;阻)(力)(位)(位)(于)(1200美)(元)(、1207美)(元)(和)(1211美)(元)((上)(周)(五)(高)(位)()。
校)(对)(:十)(门)(返)(回)(搜)(狐)(,查)(看)(更)(多)(责)(任)(编)(辑)(:
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